Working paperNorth Dakota, South DakotaNew

North Dakota's June Routes Count Twice South Dakota's Pheasants but Its Hunters Bag Fewer

North Dakota's June Breeding Bird Survey routes averaged 67.5 pheasants per run in 2021-25 against South Dakota's 33.7. Yet 2025 bags averaged 6.51 roosters per hunter in North Dakota against 9.67 in South Dakota, which killed 3.9 times as many.

67.5pheasants per June route run in North Dakota, 2021-25

North American Breeding Bird Survey volunteers count pheasants they see and hear along fixed roadside routes in June. North Dakota routes averaged 67.5 pheasants per run in 2021-25, about twice South Dakota's 33.7. South Dakota hunters still bag more roosters per hunter. Their average was 9.67 in 2025 versus 6.51 in North Dakota and they have led in every season we can compare.

IJune Route Counts

North Dakota Has Led South Dakota Since the Early 1990s

Pheasants per run means the average count from a single route run, using only runs that met survey standards. North Dakota's count has climbed since the late 1960s, though it has dipped along the way. Its routes averaged 7.3 pheasants per run in 1966-70, a block backed by only 66 route runs. South Dakota routes rose from 29.5 pheasants per run in 1966-70 to 33.7 in 2021-25. North Dakota first moved ahead of its southern neighbor in 1991-95 with 22.3 against 17.8 and has led in every five-year block since. The gap was narrowest in 1996-2000, when the counts were 19.0 and 18.6.

Route counts in Iowa, Nebraska, Kansas and Montana fell from 1966-70 to 2021-25 while Minnesota's rose slightly.

Figure 1 · Pheasants per Breeding Bird Survey route run, five-year blocksNorth Dakota rose from 7.3 to 67.5 pheasants per route while South Dakota went from 29.5 to 33.7
  • North Dakota
  • South Dakota
  • Iowa
2040601966198620012021
Each point is the first year of a five-year block (1966 is 1966-70). Each value is the mean of all route runs to BBS standards (our arithmetic on USGS counts). The 2016-20 block has no 2020 survey.

Swipe table to see every column

YearsNorth DakotaSouth DakotaIowaNebraskaKansasMinnesotaMontanaND runsSD runs
1966-707.329.534.435.322.38.216.26699
1971-758.522.745.437.922.39.114.8106127
1976-801213.533.533.528.310.214.1114108
1981-8511.614.927.929.236.58.81612297
1986-9013.716.529.229.630.77.77.6156102
1991-9522.317.828.724.9358.110.8174135
1996-001918.622.221.233.68.110.3182160
2001-0534.223.523.71830.412.57.8159150
2006-1057.749.121.621.230.413.47.3166167
2011-1546.130.414.127.119.28.28191187
2016-2043.131.221.921.722.59.310145128
2021-2567.533.720.214.214.612.211.9145116
This table gives ring-necked pheasants counted per Breeding Bird Survey route run in June by five-year block, using all runs to BBS standards (our arithmetic on USGS counts, DERIVED). The 2016-20 block has no 2020 survey. Run counts show how many route runs sit behind the North Dakota and South Dakota figures.

IISame Route Tests

The Gap Remains on Matched Routes and at the Median

A few big routes can shift North Dakota's average, so we checked the gap two ways. First we used only routes run in every five-year block from 1991-95 to 2021-25, leaving 28 in North Dakota and 20 in South Dakota. On those routes North Dakota climbed from 25.3 pheasants per run to 73.9 while South Dakota rose from 18.9 to 20.6.

Next we found the median of each state's route averages for 2021-25. North Dakota's median route counted 41.4 pheasants per run compared with 20.8 on South Dakota's median route. Seven of South Dakota's 33 routes counted no pheasants in those years while none of North Dakota's 36 did. The gap remains in both checks. Single-year figures vary more than five-year block means. North Dakota's 2025 count of 96.6 per run is well above its five-year mean, and a few big routes can shift it with only 27 runs that year.

IIIState Brood Counts

Counts Stay High With Southwest and Northwest Leading

North Dakota Game and Fish does its own roadside brood counts in late summer. Counts ran 45 pheasants per 100 miles in 2021, 65 in 2023, 94.5 in 2024 and 91.6 in 2025 with a slight dip from 2024. The department said "Total pheasants observed (91.6 per 100 miles) were down 3% from last year" and placed 2025 at 48% above the ten-year average. Its 2026 brood announcement put the count at 80 per 100 miles, up 3.8% from the 2025 figure used in that release and 57% above the ten-year average. Those releases use different 2025 bases, so the 91.6 and the 80 should not be treated as a drop. The spring crowing count and June routes moved in the same direction in only 2 of the 4 years with both.

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YearBBS pheasants per routeBBS runsCrowing count change from prior year, %Brood count, pheasants per 100 milesHuntersRoosters
20195136not published herenot published here50,000256,800
2020no survey0+15not published here57,141330,668
20215730not published here45not published herenot published here
202260.729−22not published here51,270286,970
202356.332+306553,819319,287
202470.627+3794.555,401357,018
202596.627+691.653,008344,975
2026not yet released0+980 (up 3.8% on the 2025 base in the 2026 release)not published herenot published here
This table sets North Dakota pheasant counts and harvest side by side. BBS columns are our averages of June route runs (DERIVED). The crowing count change, brood count and harvest are North Dakota Game and Fish figures as published in its news releases and magazine (SAMPLED). Brood counts are pheasants per 100 miles in late summer. "not published here" means the value is not in the releases we hold. ND's 2026 brood release reports 80 pheasants per 100 miles as up 3.8% from 2025, measured against a lower 2025 base than the 91.6 in its 2025 year in review, so the 2025 and 2026 brood cells are not directly comparable. The 48% and 57% above-average figures come from those two different releases. Each brood figure is from that year's own release, and some releases compare with a re-based prior year. ND's 2024 year in review called 94.5 up 25% from 2023, while its 2023 release printed 65, so read year-to-year changes from ND's own percentages.

The department's 2025 annual review listed district counts of 125 pheasants per 100 miles in the southwest, 115 in the northwest, 73 in the southeast and 37 in the northeast. The 2026 release used lower 2025 district figures for comparison, so its numbers do not show a change from that list. Using its own 2025 figures it showed the northwest up 7% to 85, the southwest at 112 against 115, the southeast at 64 against 72 and the northeast at 43 against 22. In the releases we have, the northwest led every year from 2020 to 2024 while the southwest led in 2025 and 2026. The northeast finished lowest or shared the lowest spot every year.

In the 2026 release upland game bird biologist RJ Gross said "The northwest continues to produce good pheasant numbers," adding "although many hunters have caught on to this trend the last few years and hunting pressure has followed." The department gives county harvest only as a top five by share. That 2025 list named Hettinger, Divide, Williams, Stark and McLean. North Dakota hunters killed 256,800 roosters in 2019 and 344,975 in 2025, a 34% rise.

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DistrictPheasants per 100 miles, 2024Pheasants per 100 miles, 2025Pheasants per 100 miles, 20262025 figure in the 2026 release
Southwest119125112115
Northwest16411585not printed (up 7% to 85)
Southeast57736472
Northeast37374322
Statewide94.591.680not printed (up 3.8% to 80)
This table gives pheasants seen per 100 miles on North Dakota Game and Fish late-summer roadside brood routes by district, as the department printed them (SAMPLED). The 2024 and 2025 columns come from its 2025 year in review and the 2026 column from its 8 September 2026 brood release. That release compared 2026 with lower 2025 district figures than the year in review printed, shown in the last column, so the 2025 and 2026 columns are not a year-to-year change. Read each change from the 2026 release's own comparison. The department prints no route counts or miles driven by district. The statewide row repeats the brood counts in the North Dakota table.

IV2025 Harvest Gap

South Dakota Hunters Took 3.9 Roosters for Every North Dakota Rooster

For 2025 North Dakota Game and Fish estimated 53,008 pheasant hunters and 344,975 roosters for an average of 6.51 roosters per hunter. South Dakota Game, Fish and Parks estimated 1,351,081 roosters taken by 57,076 residents and 82,574 nonresidents for 9.67 roosters per hunter. South Dakota hunters killed 3.9 times as many roosters as North Dakota hunters. That ratio ranged from 3.2 to 4.0 in the six seasons for which we have both states.

In 2025 South Dakota had far more hunters and bagged more roosters per hunter though its June routes averaged half North Dakota's over 2021-25. Route counts tally birds along a fixed road in June, while harvest counts tally what hunters killed on ground they could reach in fall.

Figure 2 · Roosters shot, thousands, 2025 seasonSouth Dakota hunters shot 3.9 roosters for every one shot in North Dakota
  1. 01South Dakota1,351.1
  2. 02North Dakota345
South Dakota is the GFP resident plus nonresident projection revised 20 April 2026. North Dakota is the ND Game and Fish 2025 season summary. Both are survey estimates (SAMPLED).

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SeasonND huntersND roostersND roosters per hunterSD huntersSD roostersSD roosters per hunterSD roosters per ND rooster
201950,000256,8005.14111,204829,4957.463.2
202057,141330,6685.79121,3311,108,4209.143.4
202251,270286,9705.6127,7331,158,7169.074
202353,819319,2875.93133,4611,243,1949.323.9
202455,401357,0186.44140,2621,311,3239.353.7
202553,008344,9756.51139,6501,351,0819.673.9
This table sets pheasant hunters and roosters in North Dakota against South Dakota. North Dakota figures are ND Game and Fish season summaries. South Dakota figures for 2019 to 2024 are the totals rows of GFP's county distribution tables, and 2025 is GFP's resident plus nonresident statewide projection revised 20 April 2026 (all SAMPLED). For 2020 the county tables total 1,108,420 roosters while the first page of GFP's 2025 report prints 1,078,906. Per hunter and the ratio are our division. North Dakota's 2021 summary is not in our files.

VBefore Your Trip

Route Counts Cannot Explain Why North Dakota's Index Rose

The Breeding Bird Survey records pheasants seen and heard from roads in June. Its count is an index of breeding birds along those roads and tells us nothing direct about fall numbers or where hunters can go. North Dakota logged 27 to 36 route runs in each survey year from 2019 to 2025. Each year's own release supplies its brood figure, and some releases re-base the prior year. Its 2024 annual review described 94.5 as "up 25% from 2023," but that rise is smaller than the 65 printed for 2023 suggests so use ND's own percentages to read brood changes. Harvest depends on hunter numbers, access and season length as well as bird abundance.

We get North Dakota's agency figures from its news releases and magazine. We have only some years, and its 2021 harvest summary is not in our files. South Dakota's totals count residents and nonresidents but exclude preserve birds, and for 2025 we use its April statewide revision.

This still does not tell us why North Dakota's route counts increased.

VIChoosing a Dakota

North Dakota Leads June Routes While South Dakota Has Bigger Bags

Our read is that a hunter who has priced only South Dakota should take a serious look at North Dakota, starting in the southwest and northwest districts and the five counties the department listed for the top 2025 harvest shares. Count on company in the northwest, where the department's biologist said hunting pressure has followed. Use North Dakota's smaller average bag to guide your plans rather than its route counts, and check the department's September brood release before booking.

NOTES AND SOURCES

  1. Source: U.S. Geological Survey and Environment and Climate Change Canada, North American Breeding Bird Survey, 2026 data release (1966 to 2025).
  2. Also: North Dakota Game and Fish Department, 2025 upland game seasons summarized (pheasant hunters and harvest).
  3. Also: North Dakota Game and Fish Department, 2025 year in review (roadside brood counts).
  4. Scope: Ring-necked pheasant on Breeding Bird Survey routes in North Dakota, South Dakota and five neighbors, 1966 to 2025, five-year blocks. North Dakota Game and Fish counts and harvest 2019 to 2026. South Dakota harvest 2019 to 2025.
  5. Method: BBS: pheasants per route run, the mean of every qualifying run in the block (DERIVED). Checks: the same routes run in every block since 1991-95, and the median route in 2021-25. Agency comparison: North Dakota crowing count changes, brood counts and harvest as published (SAMPLED). per hunter and ratios are our division.
  6. Limits: The Breeding Bird Survey is a June roadside count of birds seen and heard along fixed routes. It is not a harvest, and it is not a fall population.
  7. Limits: North Dakota has had 27 to 36 route runs a year since 2019, so one or two routes with big counts can move its average. The median route and the fixed-route check are there for that reason.
  8. Limits: Harvest depends on hunter numbers, access, season length and where birds sit relative to roads and hunters, as well as on birds.
  9. Limits: North Dakota Game and Fish figures come from its releases. We hold only some years, and ND publishes county harvest as a top-five list, not county totals.
  10. Limits: South Dakota totals include residents and nonresidents and leave out shooting preserve birds.
  11. Limits: North Dakota's 2026 brood release compares 2026 with a lower 2025 base than its 2025 year in review used, so the 2025 to 2026 change is best read from ND's own reported rise of 3.8%.
  12. Limits: None of this says why North Dakota's route counts rose. The data cannot tell.

Fully Drawn Research is an independent data analysis desk, not affiliated with any state wildlife agency, transportation agency, mapping provider or outfitter. Fully Drawn Research is an independent data and analysis desk. This paper reports FDR's own analysis of public agency and survey data. Harvest, catch and survey figures describe what hunters and anglers reported or what agencies counted or estimated, not how many animals or fish are present, and they reflect regulations and hunter or angler choices as well as wildlife numbers.

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Fully Drawn Research. "North Dakota's June Routes Count Twice South Dakota's Pheasants but Its Hunters Bag Fewer." FDR Working Paper 230, Nov 8, 2026. https://www.fullydrawnresearch.ai/research/papers/north-dakota-pheasants-breeding-bird-survey. Accessed Nov 12, 2026.

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