Working paperEvery stateNew

Half the Typical Water's Crappie Catch Now Goes Back, Up From 34%

Matching each of 110 waters to itself, the median black crappie release share climbed from 34.1% in creel surveys up to 2002 to 51.0% in surveys from 2012 to 2023. Yellow perch climbed about as much.

51.0%median crappie release share, 2012 to 2023

On the typical water, half the crappies anglers catch now go back. The median share of black crappie released on 110 waters with angler creel surveys in both eras rose from 34.1% in surveys up to 2002 to 51.0% in surveys from 2012 to 2023. Each water is matched only against itself, and its share rose on 74.5% of those waters. More than half the crappies were released on 23 of the 110 waters in the early era and on 59 in the recent era.

IFish Going Back

Crappie Release on the Typical Water Climbed From 34.1% to 51.0%

That gives a harvest figure a different meaning. The number kept on the typical water now covers only about half the crappies caught, so start with catch when judging a crappie lake.

These are state agency angler-interview creel surveys that the U.S. Geological Survey compiled in its CreelCat database. Release share means fish released divided by fish caught, covering all anglers in a survey whatever they fished for. It counts every fish put back, including fish anglers had to release under length or bag rules. CreelCat does not say why a fish went back. For each species we compared each water's median share in one era with its median share in the other.

Swipe table to see every column

SpeciesWatersWisconsin watersEarly median %Late median %Change, pointsWaters up %
Black crappie1108334.151+16.974.5
Yellow perch13710767.184.1+1775.9
Bluegill11910764.875.4+10.670.6
Northern pike1499576.286.4+10.273.8
Walleye16610257.167+9.970.5
Smallmouth bass1689789.297.9+8.771.4
Largemouth bass1208593.296.7+3.556.7
Each row shows the median share of fish caught that were released on the same waters in each era, each water compared only with itself. Early is 1977 to 2002, late is 2012 to 2023. Change is the difference of the rounded medians, in percentage points. Waters up is the share of waters whose own release share rose. Agency creel estimates compiled in USGS CreelCat (SAMPLED), comparison our arithmetic (DERIVED).

IISpecies Compared

Perch Kept Pace With Crappie While Bass Began Near the Top

Yellow perch made as big a move as crappie. On 137 waters the median perch release share rose from 67.1% to 84.1%, gaining 17.0 points compared with 16.9 for crappie. The share rose on 75.9% of those waters. Bluegill made a smaller gain, rising from 64.8% to 75.4% on 119 waters.

Bass release rates were already high in the early era. Smallmouth release rose from 89.2% to 97.9% on 168 waters. Largemouth rose from 93.2% to 96.7% on 120 waters and increased on only 56.7% of them. Northern pike rose from 76.2% to 86.4% on 149 waters and walleye from 57.1% to 67.0% on 166. On waters where those species have a minimum length limit, fish too short to keep make up part of the share.

Figure 1 · Rise in the median share of fish released on the same waters, percentage points, 1977-2002 to 2012-2023Crappie and perch release rose the most
  1. 01Yellow perch17
  2. 02Black crappie16.9
  3. 03Bluegill10.6
  4. 04Northern pike10.2
  5. 05Walleye9.9
  6. 06Smallmouth bass8.7
  7. 07Largemouth bass3.5
Each bar is the late-era median release share minus the early-era median, in percentage points, from the species table. Highlighted bars are yellow perch and black crappie, the two largest rises. Early era 1977 to 2002, late era 2012 to 2023. Our arithmetic on agency creel estimates compiled in USGS CreelCat (DERIVED from SAMPLED).

IIILater Gains

Crappie and Perch Made Their Biggest Move After 2011

Crappie release rose recently. Among 47 waters with crappie surveys in all three eras, the median release share rose from 36.1% up to 2002 to 40.0% from 2003 to 2011. The share then jumped to 50.7% from 2012 to 2023. On 58 such waters perch rose from 63.5% to 70.6% and then to 85.3%.

Bass and bluegill made their moves earlier. On 98 waters smallmouth release rose from 86.8% to 96.6% by the middle era and then stayed at 96.8%. Bluegill rose from 62.9% to 73.3% and then reached 74.7%. Walleye differed by region. Outside Wisconsin walleye release rose from 16.3% to 38.0% by the middle era and then stayed at 38.6% on 50 waters, while the 41 Wisconsin walleye waters gained only a little at each step.

Wisconsin has 30 of the 47 crappie waters and 42 of the 58 perch waters, and the Wisconsin DNR had new panfish rules planned for some of its lakes from 2016. The crappie timing holds after dropping waters flagged for a possible rule change with median release shares of 36.5%, 36.3% and then 50.6% across the three eras on 42 remaining waters. The pattern is weaker outside Wisconsin at 41.6%, 39.7% and 44.2% on only 17 waters. Outside Wisconsin perch rose at both steps from 59.5% to 68.6% and then 78.5% on 16 waters.

Swipe table to see every column

SpeciesWaters in all three erasSurveys up to 2002Surveys 2003 to 2011Surveys 2012 to 2023Up to 2002 median %2003 to 2011 median %2012 to 2023 median %
Black crappie471091128436.14050.7
Yellow perch5819013311663.570.685.3
Bluegill4479908762.973.374.7
Northern pike741762622297279.785.4
Walleye912653453184951.357.3
Smallmouth bass9825240740586.896.696.8
Largemouth bass5616918616990.496.696.5
The table follows the waters that had angler creel surveys in all three eras, up to 2002, 2003 to 2011 and 2012 to 2023, each water compared only with itself. Medians are the percent of fish caught that were released. Surveys counts the surveys behind each era. Agency creel estimates compiled in USGS CreelCat (SAMPLED), medians our arithmetic (DERIVED).

Swipe table to see every column

SpeciesWaters without flaggedWithout flagged, up to 2002 %Without flagged, 2003 to 2011 %Without flagged, 2012 to 2023 %Waters without WisconsinWithout Wisconsin, up to 2002 %Without Wisconsin, 2003 to 2011 %Without Wisconsin, 2012 to 2023 %
Black crappie4236.536.350.61741.639.744.2
Yellow perch5263.571.384.51659.568.678.5
Bluegill3961.872.472.8428.838.142.2
Northern pike6764.478.983.83944.877.880.6
Walleye8448.746.755.55016.33838.6
Smallmouth bass9486.896.596.66280.894.994.7
Largemouth bass5590.196.596.32492.595.998.3
The table repeats the three-era comparison two other ways, on the waters with angler creel surveys in all three eras. Without flagged waters drops Wisconsin panfish waters that WDNR's 2015 panfish plan assigned a new rule (97 of the 133 lakes on its study list) and any water where the mean length of kept fish rose an inch or more between the first and last era, the same flags as the main check. Without Wisconsin drops every Wisconsin water, and some species then rest on few waters. Medians are the percent of fish caught that were released. Our arithmetic on agency creel estimates compiled in USGS CreelCat (DERIVED from SAMPLED).

IVChecking the Rise

Release Still Rises Without Wisconsin and Without Flagged Waters

With Wisconsin making up 83 of the 110 crappie waters and 107 of the 137 perch waters, the first test removes every Wisconsin water. Crappie release still climbs from 36.3% to 46.4% on 27 waters and perch from 71.4% to 81.9% on 30. Walleye release goes from 28.3% to 43.2% on 64 waters and pike from 53.5% to 81.1% on 54.

Rule changes are the second worry because a new limit can force releases. We flagged waters where rules may have changed. The Wisconsin DNR's panfish adaptive management plan from 2015 names 133 study lakes and lays out new bag rules for 97 of them planned from 2016. One daily option was "A total of 15 panfish but no more than 5 of any one species". We flagged those 97 while leaving its 36 reference lakes unflagged. Flagging all 133 study lakes including the 36 reference lakes and dropping flagged waters leaves 97 crappie waters at 35.8% to 50.7%, barely different from the main result without flagged waters of 35.2% to 51.3% on 99 waters. We also flagged any water where the mean length of fish kept rose an inch or more between eras, which may signal a stricter length limit. After dropping flagged waters crappie release rises from 35.2% to 51.3% on 99 waters and perch from 67.3% to 84.1% on 123. We did not flag rule changes outside Wisconsin.

The Wisconsin DNR gives the statewide rule in the lake notes of its 2026 fishing report. "The panfish regulation is the statewide standard of 25 panfish/day with no minimum length limit." On a lake with that rule no crappie has to go back because of length, and the rule only sends one back once the angler already has 25 panfish.

Swipe table to see every column

SpeciesWaters without WisconsinEarly median %Late median %Waters without flaggedEarly median %Late median %
Black crappie2736.346.49935.251.3
Yellow perch3071.481.912367.384.1
Bluegill1237.252.910664.972.6
Northern pike5453.581.113276.686.6
Walleye6428.343.21565766.2
Smallmouth bass7182.994.816389.497.6
Largemouth bass3591.996.211992.996.7
This table repeats the comparison two other ways. Without Wisconsin drops every Wisconsin water. Without flagged waters drops Wisconsin panfish waters that WDNR's 2015 panfish plan assigned a new rule (97 of the 133 lakes on its study-lake list, rules planned from 2016), and any water where the mean length of kept fish rose an inch or more between eras. Medians are percent released. Our arithmetic on agency creel estimates compiled in USGS CreelCat (DERIVED from SAMPLED).

VReading Release Shares

Wisconsin Counts Run High, Leaving Shares to Tell the Story

We removed 2,802 of 7,732 surveys that recorded no released fish at all. Many older Michigan surveys recorded walleye and pike releases but no panfish releases. We therefore also removed 5,656 of 36,565 species rows with 20 or more fish caught and none released. Leaving those rows in would set the early crappie median at 27.6% on 125 waters. Most of those zeros fall in the early era, so the rise may be a little low if some were real.

On 8 of 9 Wisconsin lakes compared with the DNR's printed creel reports, CreelCat's walleye catch was 2.02 to 2.34 times the DNR total while angler hours were 1.07 to 1.13 times. At Sand Lake in Sawyer County the number of fish kept was high by about the same factor, leaving the shares close. The catch and harvest in its 2023-24 DNR creel report put walleye release at 66.9% compared with 67.0% in CreelCat and black crappie at 21.0% compared with 24.9%. Every lake we checked was surveyed in 2022-23 to 2023-24.

Swipe table to see every column

SpeciesCreelCat caughtWDNR caughtRatioCreelCat keptWDNR keptRatioCreelCat release %WDNR release %
Walleye8,3973,9332.12,7741,3012.16766.9
Yellow perch10,1955,09521,4868081.885.484.1
Black crappie3,2141,3832.32,4131,0922.224.921
Northern pike1,5367382.1188912.187.887.7
This table compares the Sand Lake (Sawyer County) 2023-24 creel survey as the Wisconsin DNR printed it with the same survey in USGS CreelCat (survey WI_1197_2023_A). Catch is all anglers regardless of target. Ratio is CreelCat divided by WDNR. Release % is caught minus kept over caught. WDNR figures MEASURED from the report text, CreelCat figures as compiled, ratios our arithmetic (DERIVED). Angler hours are 13,003 in the WDNR report and about 1.07 times that in CreelCat.

VILake Rule Choices

Check a Lake's Release Share Before Supporting Tighter Panfish Rules

Our read is that crappie and perch release is heading toward where bass release already was in surveys up to 2002, and most of that move on these mostly Wisconsin waters came after 2011. Before you support a tighter panfish rule on your lake, get its latest creel survey and read the share of crappies and perch released next to catch and harvest. If half the crappies are already going back, harvest tells only part of the story.

NOTES AND SOURCES

  1. Source: U.S. Geological Survey, The U.S. Inland Creel and Angler Survey Catalog (CreelCat), ScienceBase data release.
  2. Also: Wisconsin DNR, An Adaptive Management Project for Panfish (2015), Appendix C list of study lakes.
  3. Also: Wisconsin DNR, Wisconsin fishing report 2026 (current lake regulations).
  4. Scope: Angler intercept creel surveys compiled in USGS CreelCat that logged kept and released fish, 1977 to 2023. Each water is compared with itself, the median release share of its surveys in 1977 to 2002 against the median of its surveys in 2012 to 2023. Species-level rows only.
  5. Method: SAMPLED: caught, kept and released are agency expanded creel estimates. DERIVED: release share = released divided by caught for each survey and species, the median of each water's surveys in each era, the median across waters, and the share of waters whose release share rose. Flags: Wisconsin waters that WDNR's 2015 panfish plan assigned a new panfish rule (97 of the 133 lakes on its study-lake list, with new bag rules planned from 2016, panfish only. the 36 reference lakes are not flagged), and waters where the mean length of kept fish rose an inch or more between eras, a possible sign of a stricter length limit (Wisconsin records this field, most states do not).
  6. Limits: Released counts every fish that went back, including fish under a length limit or over a bag limit that anglers had to release. CreelCat does not say why a fish was released.
  7. Limits: Wisconsin waters make up most of the sample for every species, so the overall medians lean on Wisconsin creel surveys. Results without Wisconsin are shown for each species.
  8. Limits: On 8 of 9 Wisconsin lakes checked against the Wisconsin DNR's printed creel reports, CreelCat's walleye catch runs 2.02 to 2.34 times the DNR total while angler hours run only 1.07 to 1.13 times. At Sand Lake kept fish ran high by about the same factor, so release shares came out close (walleye 67.0% in CreelCat and 66.9% in the DNR report, black crappie 24.9% against 21.0%). All the lakes checked are 2022-23 to 2023-24 surveys, so we compare shares and treat Wisconsin counts as about twice the DNR's figures.
  9. Limits: We could not trace length and bag rules lake by lake. We flagged Wisconsin panfish waters that WDNR's 2015 panfish plan assigned a new rule (97 of the 133 lakes on its study list), with rules planned from 2016, and waters where the mean length of kept fish rose an inch or more, which only Wisconsin records. A rise in kept length can also come from bigger fish. Rule changes elsewhere are not flagged.
  10. Limits: Rows that report no released fish were dropped as unrecorded. Some of those zeros may be real, mostly in the early era, so the early medians may run a little high and the rise a little low.
  11. Limits: Surveys in each era are not spread evenly over the years, and the early era reaches back to the 1970s on some waters.
  12. Limits: The medians are our arithmetic on agency creel estimates. They are a first pass and have not been peer reviewed.

Fully Drawn Research is an independent data analysis desk, not affiliated with any state wildlife agency, transportation agency, mapping provider or outfitter. Fully Drawn Research is an independent data and analysis desk. This paper reports FDR's own analysis of public agency and survey data. Harvest, catch and survey figures describe what hunters and anglers reported or what agencies counted or estimated, not how many animals or fish are present, and they reflect regulations and hunter or angler choices as well as wildlife numbers.

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Fully Drawn Research. "Half the Typical Water's Crappie Catch Now Goes Back, Up From 34%." FDR Working Paper 240, Nov 8, 2026. https://www.fullydrawnresearch.ai/research/papers/catch-and-release-rates-by-species. Accessed Nov 12, 2026.

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