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Fully Drawn Research · Field IntelligenceField Guide 23 · Bowhunting Practice
36-arrow test · Walk-back log · 3 studies · State course standard

Test Farther Shots to Find Your Bowhunting Limit, and Log Every Arrow

FDR Research Desk · Field-craft, method, and evidence

For this guide, we define bowhunting range through a protocol we have yet to test: the greatest distance where all 36 shots stay within a 10-inch circle during a three-day trial. The test requires hunting gear, a three-minute run before shooting, and a daily opening set taken without warm-up arrows. Counting shots tells you more than measuring yards. Using 95% confidence, nine consecutive hits establish a true hit-rate floor of 72%; demonstrating a floor of 90% requires 29 consecutive hits.

Key findings
  • Nine consecutive hits within the circle yield a 95% lower confidence limit of 71.7% for your hit rate; a streak of 29 raises that limit to 90.2%, and a streak of 36 raises it to 92.0%.
  • Double the shooting distance and the circle's allowed angle shrinks by half. A 20-yard group can span no more than 5 inches if it is to fit the 10-inch circle when shot from 40 yards.
  • Among 13 elite archers, shooting heart rates reached 168 and 166 beats a minute. Scores per three-arrow group dropped by 0.73 and 0.62 points compared with rest; the authors found no significant gap.
  • The three papers studied neither hunters nor deer. Our walk-back procedure was developed for this guide and remains untested.

IPassing standard

Your limit is the farthest distance with 36 hits

Start by choosing your circle. Our choice is 10 inches because the sources consulted for this guide supplied no agency figure for a whitetail's vital area. Use that as a provisional size, or choose 8 inches for deer with smaller bodies.

The process has four stages. Begin stage 1 at 10 yards. Fire three arrows at each distance, moving back 5 yards between groups until a shot falls outside your circle. The farthest step with every shot inside becomes D1. For stage 2, work through those distances again as far as D1. Use your hunting clothes, expected light and shooting stance, and shoot from the height of your blind or stand. Name the farthest distance with a clean group D2. Add running in stage 3, using the group format taken from the Acikada experiment discussed later. Run steadily for three minutes, then fire three arrows at D2 before a minute passes. If the three shots all stay within your circle, designate D2 as D3. A miss means moving forward 5 yards, running again and firing another three arrows. Repeat until every shot in a group stays within the circle; label that distance D3.

Stage 4 confirms the distance. Use three different days for this trial, with no warm-up shots ahead of each day's opening set. Complete four run-and-shoot sets at D3 each day, firing three arrows per set. That totals 12 arrows each day, or 36 overall. A clean result across all 36 establishes D3 as your range. If an arrow falls outside, shorten the distance by 5 yards and repeat the trial over three days. Adjust the running pace for your fitness; leave running out if your doctor has restricted exercise.

Figure 1 · The walk-back log in four stages
From bare range to proven range
The four stages of the walk-back log 1 Bare walk-back 3 arrows per step Rested, shooting clothes. Start at 10 yd and step back 5 yd at a time. Stop at the first step with a miss. Last clean step is D1. 2 Hunting gear 3 arrows per step Stand or blind height, hunting clothes, hunting light, the stance you would use. Repeat the steps up to D1. Last clean step is D2. 3 After a run 3 arrows in 1 minute At D2: run 3 minutes at a steady pace, then shoot 3 arrows within a minute. A miss: move 5 yd closer, run and shoot again. First clean set is D3. 4 Three cold days 12 arrows a day, 36 in all Separate days, no warm-up before set 1. Each day: 4 sets of a run, then 3 arrows in a minute. 36 of 36 inside: D3 is your range. Any miss: D3 minus 5 yd, all three days again.
D1, D2 and D3 are the last clean distances of stages 1 to 3. Distances move in 5-yard steps from a 10-yard start.
Distance (yd)Bare (of 3)Hunting gear (of 3)After a run (of 3)Cold day 1 (of 12)Cold day 2 (of 12)Cold day 3 (of 12)
10____________
15____________
20____________
25____________
30____________
35____________
40____________

Print it and write arrows inside the circle over arrows shot. Fill the cold-day columns only on the one row you are trying to prove. The protocol is FDR's own and has not been tested.

IIProbability check

Why we require a streak of 36 hits

A miss-free outing gives less assurance than you might think. After all n arrows hit the circle, the lower edge of the per-arrow hit rate compatible with that outcome at 95% confidence equals 0.05 to the power of 1/n. This one-sided lower confidence bound sets a floor for the actual hit rate; it does not estimate that rate. With nine shots, that lower limit is 71.7%. Someone who lands shots in the circle nine times out of ten will still finish nine for nine on 39% of occasions. That streak therefore cannot establish a hit rate of 90% or higher with 95% confidence.

Figure 2 · What a clean run of arrows shows
The lowest hit rate that still fits a run of arrows all inside the circle
013 straight36.8
029 straight71.7
0314 straight80.7
0429 straight90.2
0536 straight92
0659 straight95
Percent. Exact one-sided 95% lower bound on the chance each arrow lands inside the circle, given that all n did (0.05 to the power 1/n). It assumes every arrow has the same chance and none affects the next. Fourteen straight arrows put the bound at 80.7%, 29 at 90.2% and 59 at 95.0%.

Fourteen consecutive hits lift the rounded lower limit to 80%; 29 lift it to 90%, and 59 to 95%. We selected 36 by extending 29 to fill three days of practice with four sets on each day. For an individual attempt, that count yields a floor of 92.0%. You decide which hit rate to demand. We require a minimum hit rate of 90% before shooting at a live deer; neither an agency nor a study prescribes that figure.

For an archer with an actual hit rate of 95%, a perfect 36 for 36 happens just 16% of the time. Increase that true rate to 99%, and the probability becomes 70%. Passing provides valid evidence; failing provides weak evidence and costs you only 5 yards. One miss among 36 shots lowers the floor to 87.5%. Because that misses our 90% threshold, we count the attempt as a failure.

IIIAngle limits

Moving from a 20-yard shot to a 40-yard shot halves the allowed angle

Groups spread as shots get longer. With angular spread held constant, a group measuring 5 inches at 20 yards expands to 10 inches at 40. For a 10-inch circle, the permitted half angle is 0.40 degrees from 20 yards, shrinking to 0.20 degrees from 40.

Figure 3 · Why range is harder than it looks
The same circle allows half the angle at twice the distance
The same 10-inch circle allows half the angle at twice the distance Dashed: the 10-inch circle at 20 yd allows 0.40 degrees each side of center Solid: the same circle at 40 yd allows 0.20 degrees each side of center Shooter 10-inch circle at 20 yd 10-inch circle at 40 yd The 40-yd wedge is 5 in wide here 0 20 yd 40 yd Vertical scale exaggerated
Side view, vertical scale exaggerated. Derived from geometry: the half angle is the arctangent of 5 inches over the distance.

The largest 20-yard group that can meet the circle at 40 yards measures 5 inches, provided the group centers on the point of aim. Only angular spread appears in the table. Wind, differences in arrow speed and mistakes in estimating range add to the miss, making these figures a best-case result. Shoot and measure a group from 20 yards before deciding what to expect at 40.

Distance (yd)Half angle the 10-inch circle allows (degrees)Largest 20-yard group that fits, 10-inch circle (in)Same, 8-inch circle (in)
100.8020.016.0
150.5313.310.7
200.4010.08.0
250.328.06.4
300.276.75.3
350.235.74.6
400.205.04.0
450.184.43.6
500.164.03.2

Derived from geometry. Assumes a group centered on the aim point whose width grows in proportion to distance, which is the best case: wind, arrow-speed spread and range-estimation error are not in the table and add to it.

IVResearch results

Three papers alongside a state training requirement

No hunters participated in any of the three studies discussed here.

SourceWho shotWhat was measuredWhat it foundWhat it does not show a bowhunter
Czyż and Moss 2016, Frontiers in Psychology10 men and 8 women, elite recurve archersScores from 30 arrows at each of 20 distances (men, 22 to 98 m) or 18 (women, 22 to 75 m)No score bump at the four distances they trained, except men at 70 m. A straight line fit the scores across all distances (R-squared 0.90 men, 0.91 women)Nothing about drilling one distance; the archers trained four. Target faces at marked distances, not deer
Acikada et al. 2019, Heliyon13 international-level archers, 7 women and 6 menThree arrows at 18 m (about 20 yd), rested and after 3-minute runs, in 4 sets, tested twiceHeart rate while shooting 168 and 166 bpm against 119.0 and 112.2 rested. Scores 28.23 and 27.85 rested, 27.50 and 27.23 after running; the authors found no significant differencePhysical strain, not fear. Indoor target, elite skill, three arrows per set
Dal et al. 2024, Brain and Behavior22 students with no archery experience before a 14-week classTen arrows at 18 m with a real bow and with a virtual-reality gameHeart rate rose 32.50% above baseline with the real bow and 17.54% in virtual reality. Reported anxiety was 4.76 in both. Scores were 78.81 real and 86.86 virtualBeginners on an exam day. The authors read the higher virtual score as possible lower fidelity of the game
Alaska Department of Fish and Game, bowhunter course guide, 2015Hunter-education studentsEight arrows at four 3-D animal targets from stations 11 to 26 ydPass mark is 5 of 8 arrows in the vitals (62.5%)A certification floor for a class, not a limit for a season

Read from the papers and the course guide on 2026-09-29. Scores in the second row are the papers' three-arrow totals.

In the experiment by Czyż and Moss, elite archers fired 30 arrows from every tested distance: 20 for men and 18 for women. The archers had practiced at four of those distances. The researchers looked for score increases at those four distances. They found none except among men shooting at 70 meters. The authors suggested that additional training at the Olympic distance might explain that exception. Across all tested distances, scores followed a straight-line fit; R-squared values reached 0.90 among men and 0.91 among women. These archers lost accuracy along that line rather than reaching a sudden drop at a particular distance. Because the subjects were elite target shooters rather than hunters, we selected the log's 5-yard spacing ourselves; it was no research finding. The result also does not establish that training at one yardage has no value. The paper describes a score increase at a specifically practiced distance as occurring "only after very specific practice", meaning training restricted to a single distance. Those archers trained at four. Men recorded their own scores and sent them by email, a limitation the authors identify.

For the study by Acikada and colleagues, 13 international-level archers began with three arrows from 18 meters, roughly 20 yards. They followed that with three minutes of running, then another three shots before a minute elapsed. Each test included four sets. They completed the test twice, with three days between attempts. During shooting, mean heart rates were 168 and 166 beats a minute across the two tests; rested averages were 119.0 and 112.2. Rested three-arrow scores of 28.23 and 27.85 became 27.50 and 27.23 after the run. The researchers found the score changes statistically insignificant and concluded that elevated heart rates leave short-distance scores unaffected. Both trials produced lower scores, by 0.73 and 0.62 points, among just 13 subjects. Running strains the body and speeds the heart; it does not reproduce the adrenaline when a deer appears.

In the comparison by Dal and colleagues, 22 students who had finished a 14-week course fired ten arrows from 18 meters using an actual bow and a virtual-reality game. During real-bow shooting, heart rate increased by 32.50% relative to baseline; during the game, it increased by 17.54%. Both settings yielded self-reported anxiety of 4.76 on a scale 10 centimeters long. Scores reached 78.81 with the bow, compared with 86.86 in virtual reality. The bow session counted as the class's final exam. To the authors, the better virtual score could signal that the game represents real archery with less fidelity. The takeaway for our log stays limited: conduct the trial using your hunting bow, clothing and surroundings.

The bowhunting requirement in Alaska's hunter-education course is easier to meet than our log's standard. Students fire eight arrows across four 3-D animal targets from positions ranging from 11 to 26 yards. They qualify by putting 5 of 8 into the vital area. According to the instructor guide, realistic distances archers face outdoors determined the layout. This sets the minimum for class certification; the farthest shooting position measures 26 yards.

VScope and caveats

The limits of this untested procedure

Our choices produced the protocol, a circle 10 inches across, and a test requiring 36 arrows. Those choices have not been tested in any study, and we did not conduct trials with archers. The confidence calculations require an unchanged probability of hitting the circle with each arrow and independence between shots. A tired shooter or an off day can violate either requirement. Testing on different days allows an off day to surface, but leaves day-to-day variation and dependence among shots within a set. The 95% confidence level applies to one trial at one distance. Every new attempt from closer range offers another opportunity for a lucky pass. Overall confidence therefore drops with repeated attempts, and we have not calculated the size of that drop. Deer differ from circles drawn on foam: their size, movement and angle affect the meaning of a hit, and landing inside your circle does not guarantee a lethal hit. We searched by keyword through our data catalog's 35 tables and files without finding a table on shooting distance or archery accuracy. The published research and our calculations supply this guide's basis.

VIHunting limit

Establish your distance and stay within it

Our view is that claiming a bowhunting range requires proof from enough shots. Hunters should treat a brief string without misses as an initial screen and choose their season-long limit only after completing a full, cold test over multiple days.

To apply the rule, complete stages 1 to 3 to establish D3, then perform stage 4 from D3. Record the qualifying distance on your sheet and carry it in your pack. Return to stage 2 if you change your draw weight, broadhead, arrow or bow, or if you sit out a season. Failing to land all 36 from 20 yards puts your current limit below 20. Repeat the trial over three days from 15 yards and then 10. Keep shots on deer within the distance you pass while continuing practice from 20. To see where bow seasons account for the most deer taken, read our Illinois archery map and Ohio's bow counties.

Notes & disclosures
  1. Source: Czyż and Moss 2016, Frontiers in Psychology 7:1178.
  2. Source: Acikada et al. 2019, Heliyon 5(3):e01428.
  3. Source: Dal et al. 2024, Brain and Behavior 14(10):e70070.
  4. Source: Alaska Department of Fish and Game, Today's Bowhunter Teaching Guide (October 2015).
  5. The walk-back protocol, the 10-inch circle and the 36-arrow count are FDR working choices. No study tested them.
  6. The confidence figures assume each arrow has the same chance of landing inside the circle and that arrows do not affect each other. Fatigue and day-to-day drift can break both. Separate days let a bad day show up, but they do not remove day-to-day variation or dependence within a set. The 95% figure holds for one attempt at one distance; each retry at a shorter distance is another chance to pass, so confidence across retries is lower.
  7. Landing inside a target circle does not mean a lethal hit on a live deer: angle, movement and the animal's size change the result.
  8. All three studies used target archers or beginners at marked distances, not hunters shooting at deer.

Fully Drawn Research is an independent data analysis desk, not affiliated with the Illinois Department of Natural Resources, the Illinois Department of Transportation, or any mapping or outfitting provider. Fully Drawn Research is an independent data and analysis desk. This guide summarizes published research and FDR's own data; cited findings belong to their authors, and study results come from specific places and years that may not match your ground.